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Hello, and reaction to your biweekly account from the
offices of TrainerTrackStats.
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- Review of last newsletter
- System angle: Going Change Winners
- A jape...
- Tomorrow's qualifiers
REVIEW OF LAST NEWSLETTER
The past story I conveyed was in actual fact the firstborn. And what a result!
As fine as providing a moneymaking set of contacts angle, we besides looked at why it pays to be cautious of short-priced advanced type horses having their seasonal launching.
A classical proceeding in ingredient was Champion Hurdle moon curser up, Harchibald, who had his prototypal run of the time period on Sunday at Tipperary. Having staring at 1-4, the foal drifted to 2-7, afterwards 1-3. This is normally a premonition that a equus caballus is 'carrying condition' (as mentioned closing time, this is trainerspeak for 'not fit').
Sure enough, 'Harchie' was going finest of all with a simple fraction linear unit to run, but recovered completely naught when asked to fashion his attempt. He ended quaternary of five, and the property of burned fingers could be sniffed intersectant the Emerald Isle. There'll be a good enough few more than last profile, protracted unequal defeats in the past October is done. You have been warned...!
Also, in the ending newsletter, I started what is to be a equal facet in the letter: Tomorrow's Qualifiers. This is wherever I give you an observation into the wonderful world of Trainer Track Stats.
On a never-to-be-repeated day, out of ix selections, viii were winners, as well as 10/1 and 12/1 horses. The with the sole purpose equine not to win was set 3rd at 12/1, in the same race that we had the 4/1 winner!!
You'll discovery tomorrow's qualifiers at the bottom of this document.
SYSTEM ANGLE: GOING CHANGE WINNERS
Its the incident of year when Autumn starts to knock into Winter, and the twine and rain changes the going terms almost every day. In short, its a chewy event to be a boater. So, I sought-after to statement the question,
How can we use this inclement windward to our advantage?.
One of the things that stricken me was,
What if a equid had in earlier times won on today's going, but was ill-treated later juncture out on markedly not like ground?
Well, I put this to the assessment with my honest Racing Systems Builder package (the said hugely eye-catching info I fishing line to turn up the TrainerTrackStats nuggets). I used my normal 14/1 or smaller number condition, and likewise closed it to student races. This is what I learnt if today's going was two or much types quicker or slower than ending instance out:
YEAR WINS RUNS STRIKE% LSP LSP% VSP%
2001 20 69 28.99 3.17 4.59 7.69
2002 16 58 27.59 -5.40 -9.31 4.52
2003 16 39 41.03 38.00 97.44 43.29
2004 22 70 31.43 3.85 5.50 21.15
2005 16 55 29.09 0.95 1.73 6.21
90 291 30.93 40.57 13.94 15.23
As you can see, in attendance are every excellent opportunities to find merit here...
Nothing to do with equid racing or title holder find but very
A man walks into a dentists' surgery, and says, You've got to oblige me, I dream up I'm a lepidopteron.
The dental practitioner replies, You don't status a dentist, you demand a medical specialist.
The man says, I cognize.
The dentist, slightly bemused, says, So what are you doing here?!
Grinning, the man replies, The lightweight was on!
Exeter 2.10 Brochrua
Exeter 3.10 Boychuk
Exeter 4.40 Grave Doubts
Towces 3.00 Sexy Rexy (PRICE WARNING)
Note the (PRICE WARNING). This colt - close to all qualifiers -
must be 14/1 or shorter to be a contestant.
REMINDER / NEXT LETTER...
Well, that's roughly speaking all for this epistle. I anticipation you've enjoyed it. Before I close, I'd close to to pilfer the possibility to remind those of you
who have yet to bid that I now have a day-to-day email payment employ for TrainerTrackStats, handsome you all the tailing day's selections the nighttime earlier.
For more information, go to
Next newsletter will be in your inbox on or about 17th October.
Finally, if you have any remarks / natural action on this letter, or anything you'd same to see in future,
please email your suggestions to
I'll outward show headlong to hearing from you!
Thanks for reading, and good regards
Author, TrainerTrackStats NH 2006/7